陈国民
职称:副所长/研究员
电话:021-54896136
邮件:chengm@typhoon.org.cn
主要从事台风预报检验技术研发。
Research interests: Research and development of typhoon
forecast verification technology.
1. Chen G, T. Li, M. Yang, X. Zhang,2023: Evaluation of Western North Pacific Typhoon Track Forecasts in Global and Regional Models during the 2021 Typhoon Season. Atmosphere. 2023; 14(3):499. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos14030499.
2. H. YU, G. CHEN, C. Zhou, et al., 2022: Are We Reaching the Limit of Tropical Cyclone Track Predictability in the Western North Pacific? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(2), E410-E428.
3. G. CHEN, X. ZHANG, Q. CAO, Z. ZENG., 2022: Evaluation of forecast performance for Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019. Front. Earth Sci., 16(1): 17‒33 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-021-0900-2
4. Dong, Pingping, Jie Lian, Hui Yu, Jianguo Pan, Yuping Zhang, and Guomin Chen, 2022: Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction with an Encoding-to-Forecasting Deep Learning Model. Weather and Forecasting. 971-987,https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0116.1
5. 褚萌,雷小途,陈国民.热带气旋路径预报“真实”误差分析[J].大气科学学报,2022,45(01):22-29.
6. 陈国民,杨梦琪,张喜平,白莉娜,万日金,曹庆,2022.2020年西北太平洋和南海台风预报精度评定[J].气象,48(4):516-525.
7. Hui YU, Guomin CHEN, Cong Zhou, et al., 2022: Are We Reaching the Limit of Tropical Cyclone Track Predictability in the Western North Pacific? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103(2), E410-E428.
8. Guomin CHEN, Xiping ZHANG, Qing CAO, Zhihua ZENG. Evaluation of forecast performance for Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019. Front. Earth Sci., 2022, 16(1): 17‒33 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-021-0900-2
9. 陈国民,张喜平,杨梦琪,白莉娜,万日金,2021.2019年西北太平洋和南海台风预报精度评定[J].气象,47(10):1266-1276.
10. Chen G., Zhang X., Yang M., Yu H., Cao Q., 2021: Performance of tropical cyclone forecasts in the western North Pacific in 2017. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 10 (1): 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tcrr.2021.03.002
11. 陈国民,张喜平,白莉娜,万日金,2019:2017年西北太平洋和南海热带气旋预报精度评定[J].气象,45(4):577-586.
12. 陈国民,张喜平,白莉娜,万日金,2018:2016年西北太平洋和南海热带气旋预报精度评定[J].气象,44(4):582-589.
13. 陈国民,曹庆,白莉娜,2017:2015年西北太平洋热带气旋预报精度评定[J]. 气象,43(4):501-507
14. Chen Guomin, Xiping Zhang, Peiyan Chen et al., 2017: Performance of Tropical Cyclone Forecast in Western North Pacific in 2016. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 6(1-2), 13-25.
15. Chen Guomin, Xiaotu LEI, Xiping ZHANG et al., 2016: Performance of Tropical Cyclone Forecast in Western North Pacific in 2015. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 5(3-4), 47-57.
16. 岳彩军,袁招洪,陶岚,陈国民,戴建华,谈建国.上海地区一次阵风锋结构特征与动量收支诊断分析[J].高原气象,2016,35(03):788-799.
17. 陈国民,曹庆,白莉娜,2015:2014年西北太平洋热带气旋预报精度评定[J]. 气象,41(12):1554-1561.
18. 余晖,陈国民,万日金,2015:数值模式的热带气旋强度预报订正及其集成应用[J]. 气象学报,73(4):667-678.
19. 陈国民,曹庆,2014: 2013年西北太平洋热带气旋预报精度评定[J]. 气象,40(12):1549-1557.
20. Hui Yu, Guomin Chen, Barbara Brown, 2013: A New Verification Measure for Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts and Its Experimental Application[J]. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 2013, 2(4): 185-195.
21. 陈国民,曾智华,曹庆. 海温对0907号热带气旋“天鹅”入海后强度变化影响的数值模拟研究[J]. 热带气象学报,2013, 29(6):984-992.
22. Chen G. M., H. Yu, Q. Cao, Z. H. Zeng, 2013: The performance of global models in TC track forecasting over the western North Pacific from 2010 to 2012[J]. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 2013, 2(3): 149-158.
23. 陈国民,余晖,曹庆. 2012年西北太平洋热带气旋预报精度评定[J]. 气象,2013,39(10):1350-1358.
24. 陈国民,汤杰,曾智华. 2011年西北太平洋热带气旋预报精度评定[J]. 气象,2012,38(10):1238-1246.
25. 曹庆,陈国民. 上海市一次大雾天气的生消机理及空间差异分析[J]. 大气科学研究与应用,2012,24(2), 101-106.
26. 汤杰,陈国民,余晖. 2010年西北太平洋台风预报精度评定及分析[J].气象,2011,37(10):1320-1328.
27. 陈国民,沈新勇,杨宇红. β效应和垂直切变对台风非对称结构及眼墙替换的影响[J],高原气象,2010,12(6):1474-1484.
28. 陈国民,沈新勇,刘佳. 垂直风切变对热带气旋强度及结构的影响[J],气象研究与应用,2010,31(1),1-4.